Threat to Democracy? Conspiracy Theories in the Context of Covid-19 (DemThreat)
Leader
Dr. Ina BieberAbstract
Pandemics can not only weaken the health of many people and lead
to high mortality rates, they can also have a decisive influence on the
destabilization and collapse of democracies. According to the findings
of various researchers, the Spanish flu in the early 1920s, for example,
led to the National Socialists coming to power in Germany, and it has
generally been shown that sudden negative shocks and extreme events can
have serious negative consequences for democracy.
While previous pandemics primarily threatened democracies with
adverse economic effects in the aftermath of the crisis, COVID-19 gives
cause for concern about the stability of political systems already in
its early stages. Almost as fast as the spread of the actual virus,
conspiracy theories started to spread within (on- and offline) networks
ranging from the denial of the existence of the pandemic to claiming
that the virus was engineered in Chinese laboratories. These beliefs
seem to be so contagious that they flourish in the ever-growing protests
on the streets where conspiracy theorists are accompanied by
anti-vaccination activists and right-wing populists, as well by an
increasing amount of people from the middle of society. Despite all
their differences, these groups have one thing in common: a
dissatisfaction with the current restriction measures related to
COVID-19 and the associated criticism of the leadership elite's
assumption of power. With this in mind, it is currently not clear
whether the conspiracy theories are causing the elitist skepticism or
whether they rather act as a catalyst for already existing elitist
skepticism and thus add fuel to the fire.
We investigate how the conspiracy theories surrounding COVID-19
threaten democracy. Our experimental panel design uses a baseline
measurement from before the massive spread of COVID-19 and illustrates
whether and to what extent certain population groups can be infected by
conspiracy theories and thus alter their voting behavior by not voting
or voting extremely. As conspiracy theories are currently on the rise,
this project is an important contribution to assess the underlying
mechanisms and the resulting threats to democracy.
Runtime
2021-01-01 – 2023-01-31Funding
Volkswagenstiftung